Tight Bounds for Local Glivenko-Cantelli

Abstract

This paper addresses the statistical problem of estimating the infinite-norm deviation from the empirical mean to the distribution mean for high-dimensional distributions on $\{0,1\}^d$, potentially with $d=\infty$. Unlike traditional bounds as in the classical Glivenko-Cantelli theorem, we explore the instance-dependent convergence behavior. For product distributions, we provide the exact non-asymptotic behavior of the expected maximum deviation, revealing various regimes of decay. In particular, these tight bounds demonstrate the necessity of a previously proposed factor for an upper bound, answering a corresponding COLT 2023 open problem (Cohen and Kontorovich, 2022, 2023). We also consider general distributions on $\{0,1\}^d$ and provide the tightest possible bounds for the maximum deviation of the empirical mean given only the mean statistic. Along the way, we prove a localized version of the Dvoretzky–Kiefer–Wolfowitz inequality. Additionally, we present some results for two other cases, one where the deviation is measured in some $q$-norm, and the other where the distribution is supported on a continuous domain $[0,1]^d$, and also provide some high-probability bounds for the maximum deviation in the independent Bernoulli case.