Equality Constraints in Linear Hawkes Processes

Abstract

Conditional independence is often used as a testable implication of causal models of random variables. In addition, equality constraints have been proposed to distinguish between data-generating mechanisms. We show that one can also find equality constraints in linear Hawkes processes, extending this theory to a class of continuous-time stochastic processes. This is done by proving that Hawkes process models in a certain sense satisfy the equality constraints of linear structural equation models. These results allow more refined constraint-based structure learning in this class of processes. Arguing the existence of equality constraints leads us to new identification results for Hawkes processes. We also describe a causal interpretation of the linear Hawkes process which is closely related to its so-called cluster representation.

Cite

Text

Mogensen. "Equality Constraints in Linear Hawkes Processes." Proceedings of the First Conference on Causal Learning and Reasoning, 2022.

Markdown

[Mogensen. "Equality Constraints in Linear Hawkes Processes." Proceedings of the First Conference on Causal Learning and Reasoning, 2022.](https://mlanthology.org/clear/2022/mogensen2022clear-equality/)

BibTeX

@inproceedings{mogensen2022clear-equality,
  title     = {{Equality Constraints in Linear Hawkes Processes}},
  author    = {Mogensen, Søren Wengel},
  booktitle = {Proceedings of the First Conference on Causal Learning and Reasoning},
  year      = {2022},
  pages     = {576-593},
  volume    = {177},
  url       = {https://mlanthology.org/clear/2022/mogensen2022clear-equality/}
}