Bounds and Sensitivity Analysis of the Causal Effect Under Outcome-Independent MNAR Confounding

Abstract

We report distribution-free bounds for any contrast between the probabilities of the potential outcome under exposure and non-exposure when the confounders are missing not at random. We assume that the missingness mechanism is outcome-independent. We also report a sensitivity analysis method to complement our bounds.

Cite

Text

Peña. "Bounds and Sensitivity Analysis of the Causal Effect Under Outcome-Independent MNAR Confounding." Proceedings of the Fourth Conference on Causal Learning and Reasoning, 2025.

Markdown

[Peña. "Bounds and Sensitivity Analysis of the Causal Effect Under Outcome-Independent MNAR Confounding." Proceedings of the Fourth Conference on Causal Learning and Reasoning, 2025.](https://mlanthology.org/clear/2025/pena2025clear-bounds/)

BibTeX

@inproceedings{pena2025clear-bounds,
  title     = {{Bounds and Sensitivity Analysis of the Causal Effect Under Outcome-Independent MNAR Confounding}},
  author    = {Peña, Jose},
  booktitle = {Proceedings of the Fourth Conference on Causal Learning and Reasoning},
  year      = {2025},
  pages     = {693-703},
  volume    = {275},
  url       = {https://mlanthology.org/clear/2025/pena2025clear-bounds/}
}