Few-Shot Forecasting of Time-Series with Heterogeneous Channels
Abstract
Learning complex time series forecasting models usually requires a large amount of data, as each model is trained from scratch for each task/data set. Leveraging learning experience with similar datasets is a well-established technique for classification problems called few-shot classification. However, existing approaches cannot be applied to time-series forecasting because i) multivariate time-series datasets have different channels, and ii) forecasting is principally different from classification. In this paper, we formalize the problem of few-shot forecasting of time-series with heterogeneous channels for the first time. Extending recent work on heterogeneous attributes in vector data, we develop a model composed of permutation-invariant deep set-blocks which incorporate a temporal embedding. We assemble the first meta-dataset of 40 multivariate time-series datasets and show through experiments that our model provides a good generalization, outperforming baselines carried over from simpler scenarios that either fail to learn across tasks or miss temporal information.
Cite
Text
Brinkmeyer et al. "Few-Shot Forecasting of Time-Series with Heterogeneous Channels." European Conference on Machine Learning and Principles and Practice of Knowledge Discovery in Databases, 2022. doi:10.1007/978-3-031-26422-1_1Markdown
[Brinkmeyer et al. "Few-Shot Forecasting of Time-Series with Heterogeneous Channels." European Conference on Machine Learning and Principles and Practice of Knowledge Discovery in Databases, 2022.](https://mlanthology.org/ecmlpkdd/2022/brinkmeyer2022ecmlpkdd-fewshot/) doi:10.1007/978-3-031-26422-1_1BibTeX
@inproceedings{brinkmeyer2022ecmlpkdd-fewshot,
title = {{Few-Shot Forecasting of Time-Series with Heterogeneous Channels}},
author = {Brinkmeyer, Lukas and Drumond, Rafael Rêgo and Burchert, Johannes and Schmidt-Thieme, Lars},
booktitle = {European Conference on Machine Learning and Principles and Practice of Knowledge Discovery in Databases},
year = {2022},
pages = {3-18},
doi = {10.1007/978-3-031-26422-1_1},
url = {https://mlanthology.org/ecmlpkdd/2022/brinkmeyer2022ecmlpkdd-fewshot/}
}