Conditional Testing Based on Localized Conformal $p$-Values

Abstract

In this paper, we address conditional testing problems through the conformal inference framework. We define the localized conformal $p$-values by inverting prediction intervals and prove their theoretical properties. These defined $p$-values are then applied to several conditional testing problems to illustrate their practicality. Firstly, we propose a conditional outlier detection procedure to test for outliers in the conditional distribution with finite-sample false discovery rate (FDR) control. We also introduce a novel conditional label screening problem with the goal of screening multivariate response variables and propose a screening procedure to control the family-wise error rate (FWER). Finally, we consider the two-sample conditional distribution test and define a weighted U-statistic through the aggregation of localized $p$-values. Numerical simulations and real-data examples validate the superior performance of our proposed strategies.