Agnostic Continuous-Time Online Learning

Abstract

We study agnostic online learning from continuous-time data streams, a setting that naturally arises in applications such as environmental monitoring, personalized recommendation, and high-frequency trading. Unlike classical discrete-time models, learners in this setting must interact with a continually evolving data stream while making queries and updating models only at sparse, strategically selected times. We develop a general theoretical framework for learning from both *oblivious* and *adaptive* data streams, which may be noisy and non-stationary. For oblivious streams, we present a black-box reduction to classical online learning that yields a regret bound of $T \cdot R(S)/S$ for any class with discrete-time regret $R(S)$, where $T$ is the time horizon and $S$ is the *query budget*. For adaptive streams, which can evolve in response to learner actions, we design a dynamic query strategy in conjunction with a novel importance weighting scheme that enables unbiased loss estimation. In particular, for hypothesis class $\mathcal{H}$ with a finite Littlestone dimension, we establish a tight regret bound of $\tilde{\Theta}(T \cdot \sqrt{\mathsf{Ldim}(\mathcal{H})/S})$ that holds in both settings. Our results provide the first *quantitative* characterization of agnostic learning in continuous-time online environments with limited interaction.