Accelerating Feature Conformal Prediction via Taylor Approximation

Abstract

Conformal prediction is widely adopted in uncertainty quantification, due to its post-hoc, distribution-free, and model-agnostic properties. In the realm of modern deep learning, researchers have proposed Feature Conformal Prediction (FCP), which deploys conformal prediction in a feature space, yielding reduced band lengths. However, the practical utility of FCP is limited due to the time-consuming non-linear operations required to transform confidence bands from feature space to output space. In this paper, we present Fast Feature Conformal Prediction (FFCP), a method that accelerates FCP by leveraging a first-order Taylor expansion to approximate these non-linear operations. The proposed FFCP introduces a novel non-conformity score that is both effective and efficient for real-world applications. Empirical validations showcase that FFCP performs comparably with FCP (both outperforming the vanilla version) while achieving a significant reduction in computational time by approximately 50x in both regression and classification tasks.