Optimizing Cycle Life Prediction of Lithium-Ion Batteries via a Physics-Informed Model

Abstract

Accurately measuring the cycle lifetime of commercial lithium-ion batteries is crucial for performance and technology development. We introduce a novel hybrid approach combining a physics-based equation with a self-attention model to predict the cycle lifetimes of commercial lithium iron phosphate graphite cells via early-cycle data. After fitting capacity loss curves to this physics-based equation, we then use a self-attention layer to reconstruct entire battery capacity loss curves. Our model exhibits comparable performances to existing models while predicting more information: the entire capacity loss curve instead of cycle life. This provides more robustness and interpretability: our model does not need to be retrained for a different notion of end-of-life and is backed by physical intuition.

Cite

Text

Sun et al. "Optimizing Cycle Life Prediction of Lithium-Ion Batteries via a Physics-Informed Model." Transactions on Machine Learning Research, 2025.

Markdown

[Sun et al. "Optimizing Cycle Life Prediction of Lithium-Ion Batteries via a Physics-Informed Model." Transactions on Machine Learning Research, 2025.](https://mlanthology.org/tmlr/2025/sun2025tmlr-optimizing/)

BibTeX

@article{sun2025tmlr-optimizing,
  title     = {{Optimizing Cycle Life Prediction of Lithium-Ion Batteries via a Physics-Informed Model}},
  author    = {Sun, Nathan and Nicolae, Daniel and Sameer, Sara and Yan, Karena},
  journal   = {Transactions on Machine Learning Research},
  year      = {2025},
  url       = {https://mlanthology.org/tmlr/2025/sun2025tmlr-optimizing/}
}